The Best Bet in Horse Racing - A Successful Wagering Strategy That Can Return Profits to the Horse Player

The Best Bet in Horse Racing - A Successful Wagering Strategy That Can Return Profits to the Horse Player

The Pick 4

The Pick 4 is one of the best bets in racing, and except for days on which there is a Pick 6 carryover, it is even more favorable than that bet.

The favorability of the Pick 4 only applies if you actually feel that you are making solid picks. The general rule to follow is to ask oneself, “would I place money to win on each of the horses within each of the four legs of my Pick 4 ticket?” If the answer is yes, then you can feel more confident that your Pick 4 is a solid play. If you are just guessing, then there is no guarantee you are going to come out ahead.

However, one thing is certain. Even if you are guessing on the Pick 4, in the long term, you will win relatively more (or lose relatively less as the case may be), than if you are simply putting money to win on each of those horses instead of playing them as part of your Pick 4.

In order to evaluate the favorability of this type of bet, it is useful to measure the parlay against the actual payout. The parlay is the amount that the bettor would end up with at the end of the betting sequence, (in this case the four consecutive races that comprise the pick 4 sequence), had they made individual $1 bets on the winners of each of the races in the sequence, and reinvested the winnings in each subsequent race to the final race (assuming they allowed $1 bets – the minimum win bet is $2). If the Pick 4 pays more than the four-race parlay, then the bettor would have been better off playing the Pick 4.

Pick 4 at Hollywood Park

There are two Pick 4 offered each racing day, the early pick four (races 1-4), and the late pick four (the last four races of the day). There were 40 racing dates during the Fall 2008 Hollywood meet which means there were 80 Pick-4 payouts. An analysis of the 80 Pick-4 payouts has yielded the following results:

a. The Pick 4 paid on average of 179% of parlay. For example, on average, if a bettor had bet $1 to win, reinvested his winnings each time, and ended up with say $1,000. On average, the Pick 4 would pay about $1,790, which is 179% of parlay (another way to think of it is that it paid 79% more)

b. There was no significant difference between the percent over parlay from beginning and ending of meet

  • i. First 40: Pick 4 paid 180% of parlay
  • ii. Second 40: Pick 4 paid 178% of parlay

c. There was no significant difference in parlay between the early and late pick 4

  • i. Early: 178%
  • ii. Late: 180%

d. Only 6 of 80 Pick 4payouts paid less than 100% parlay, 74 paid better than 100% of parlay

e. 23/80 Pick 4’s paid better than 200% parlay

f. 6/80 Pick 4’s paid better than 300% parlay

g. There was no difference between the payoff/parlay ratio between weekdays (182%), and the weekends (175%)

h. The payoff/parlay ratio is much more consistent than the Pick Six




You may login with either your assigned username or your e-mail address.
The password field is case sensitive.
  • Brystar earned 500,000 Points playing our game.
  • MIG70STABLE earned 500,000 Points playing our game.
  • gerimack earned 500,000 Points playing our game.
  • Brystar earned 500,000 Points playing our game.
  • Brystar earned 500,000 Points playing our game.
  • gerimack earned 500,000 Points playing our game.
  • gerimack earned 500,000 Points playing our game.
  • Brystar earned 500,000 Points playing our game.
  • gerimack earned 500,000 Points playing our game.
  • kinglilman earned 500,000 Points playing our game.
  • gosuper earned 406,692 Points playing our game.
  • kinglilman earned 379,665 Points playing our game.
  • sleepers earned 379,665 Points playing our game.
  • blackghost earned 322,179 Points playing our game.
  • icemanfirst earned 312,312 Points playing our game.
  • perfectouchnj earned 301,587 Points playing our game.
  • savagepaw earned 300,000 Points playing our game.
  • jerrygates earned 300,000 Points playing our game.
  • rero0517 earned 295,152 Points playing our game.
  • rlparlett earned 293,436 Points playing our game.
  • micmac earned 284,083 Points playing our game.
  • scorpion56 earned 267,567 Points playing our game.
  • micmac earned 247,747 Points playing our game.
  • harrylan earned 246,246 Points playing our game.
  • icemanfirst earned 243,672 Points playing our game.
  • kinglilman earned 240,768 Points playing our game.
  • sleepers earned 235,950 Points playing our game.
  • dustyla2 earned 234,448 Points playing our game.
  • jackpotrace earned 232,947 Points playing our game.
  • perfectouchnj earned 231,231 Points playing our game.
  • jackpotrace earned 223,938 Points playing our game.
  • sleepers earned 212,355 Points playing our game.
  • blackghost earned 205,920 Points playing our game.
  • icemanfirst earned 203,989 Points playing our game.
  • starzagazin earned 202,831 Points playing our game.
  • sleepers earned 202,702 Points playing our game.
  • natboy earned 201,415 Points playing our game.
  • Baronex earned 200,000 Points playing our game.
  • saratoga95 earned 200,000 Points playing our game.
  • Bryonoxy earned 200,000 Points playing our game.
  • saratoga95 earned 200,000 Points playing our game.
  • savagepaw earned 200,000 Points playing our game.
  • lynchd75 earned 200,000 Points playing our game.
  • savagepaw earned 200,000 Points playing our game.
  • savagepaw earned 200,000 Points playing our game.
  • Makbule earned 200,000 Points playing our game.
  • micmac earned 200,000 Points playing our game.
  • califokie earned 200,000 Points playing our game.
  • saratoga95 earned 200,000 Points playing our game.
  • maurice21 earned 200,000 Points playing our game.
  • micmac earned 200,000 Points playing our game.
  • Brystar earned 200,000 Points playing our game.
  • Trooperken earned 195,624 Points playing our game.
  • pepperkid earned 190,476 Points playing our game.
  • conleyj@sbcglobal.net earned 189,189 Points playing our game.
  • kinglilman earned 184,860 Points playing our game.
  • perfectouchnj earned 180,180 Points playing our game.
  • miheee earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • pack1998 earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • kinglilman earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • miheee earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • dahghee earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • Lear Fan earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • miheee earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • miheee earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • dahghee earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • dahghee earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • miheee earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • miheee earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • dahghee earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • kinglilman earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • miheee earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • miheee earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • jerrygates earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • miheee earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • flyingdaaka earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • miheee earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • dahghee earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • jobby1958 earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • miheee earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • kinglilman earned 180,000 Points playing our game.
  • brusko earned 179,107 Points playing our game.
  • gerimack earned 178,893 Points playing our game.
  • kinglilman earned 178,464 Points playing our game.
  • Vicodo earned 172,575 Points playing our game.
  • blackcaviar007 earned 172,575 Points playing our game.
  • tentpeg77 earned 170,000 Points playing our game.
  • tentpeg77 earned 170,000 Points playing our game.
  • sleepers earned 156,370 Points playing our game.
  • sleepers earned 153,582 Points playing our game.
  • stonedlocust earned 150,000 Points playing our game.
  • micmac earned 141,960 Points playing our game.
  • Brystar earned 129,772 Points playing our game.
  • micmac earned 121,600 Points playing our game.
  • gerimack earned 115,830 Points playing our game.
  • modgraphix earned 105,000 Points playing our game.
  • miheee earned 100,000 Points playing our game.
  • frelance earned 90,000 Points playing our game.
  • micmac earned 81,000 Points playing our game.
  • kinglilman earned 68,140 Points playing our game.