HRF Times: Issue 27-Our $3000 Vacation Giveaway Tournament Ends Tonight

general's picture

After two exiting qualifying races that had some shocking winners, the final for our $3,000 Vacation Giveaway tournament approaches. Here is the field for this exceptional race that everyone is looking forward to.

G1-Semi-Annual Super Tournament Breeders Cup
5/7/11 19:00
Churchill Downs
Dirt Fast 9f

1. Rawle I Am Sorry
Owner: ahijah
Dr. Fager (Rough N Tumble)-Voodoo Fever (Tom Fool)
BSR: 140.5 (5rd in race, 9th Overall)
Race Record: 26-10-5-3
Earnings: $3,150,000
Top SF: 128 (6f Sand)

2. Milion
Owner: igor95
Mdm Mister Pink (Dr. Fager)-Affectionately (Swaps)
BSR: 138.4 (11th in race, 20th Overall)
Race Record: 8-3-2-1
Earnings: $642.500
Top SF: 119 (7.5f Turf Yielding)

3. Pinks Bay Dawn
Owner: archon
Mdm Mister Pink (Dr. Fager)-Bayakoa (Consultant’s Bid)
BSR: 152 (1st in race, 1tst Overall)
Race Record: 17-15-1-0
Earnings: $2,420,000
Top SF: 126 (8f Dirt Fast)

4. Get There First
Owner: frelance
Hard Spun (Danzig)-Bayakoa (Consultant’s Bid)
BSR: 140.2 (6th in race, 11th Overall)
Race Record: 25-12-6-2
Earnings: $2,837,500
Top SF: 134 (7.5f Dirt Fast)

5. Bright Nickle
Owner: northshorestable
Hard Spun (Danzig)-Voodoo Fever (Tom Fool)
BSR: 138.3 (11th in race, 23nd Overall)
Race Record: 20-12-5-1
Earnings: $2,027,500
Top SF: 132 (7.5f Dirt Good)

6. Canny Fight
Owner: micmac
Tiago (Pleasant Tap)-Voodoo Fever (Tom Fool)
BSR: 140.9 (3rd in race, 7h Overall)
Race Record: 28-17-4-1
Earnings: $3,675,000
Top SF: 140 (15f Dirt Fast)

7. Lady Valentine
Owner: ahijah
Hard Spun (Danzig)-Go For Wand (Deputy Minister)
BSR: 143.6 (3rd in race, 4th Overall)
Race Record: 13-6-2-0
Earnings: $1,450,000
Top SF: 131 (7.5f Turf Soft)

8. Contingency
Owner: rlparlett
Conquistador Cielo (Mr. Prospector)-Doc Beauty (Dr. Fager)
BSR: 139.2 (9th in race, 17th Overall)
Race Record: 19-12-1-0
Earnings: $2,562,500
Top SF: 126 (5.5f Sand)

9. Reds Rules
Owner: dreaming
Mdm Mister Pink (Dr. Fager)-Bayakoa (Consultant’s Bid)
BSR: 139 (9th in race, 18th Overall)
Race Record: 17-5-4-2
Earnings: $1,427,500
Top SF: 125 (7.5f Turf Soft)

10. Doc Again
Owner: bhdcwt1
Awesome Again (Deputy Minister)-Doc Beauty (Dr. Fager)
BSR: 140 (7th in race, 14th Overall)
Race Record: 26-7-1-1
Earnings: $1,550,000
Top SF: 125 (9.5f Dirt fast)

Analysis: After two upsets in the qualifiers, I will be looking for value in this field. I see one of the winners of the qualifiers as legitimate and the other as a throw away. I like 1-Rawle I Am Sorry because of his running style and the added distance for today’s race, and I think 2-Milion will not run back to the supremely impressive performance last Monday. But, neither of those two horses are my top pick. I like 3-Pinks Bay Dawn as the most likely winner tonight based on his tactical speed as well as his quick turn of foot. 4-Get There First intrigues me because he was in the mix in Monday’s race, but I will only use this one in deepest of exotics. 5-Bright Nickle is a horse that I do not believe is for real and only give a marginal chance. 6-Canny Fight was beaten more than 7 lengths in the qualifier by Milion. 7-Lady Valentine looks like a price I will be willing to use as ahijah is loaded for this race. 8-Contingency also was way behind in the qualifier. 9-Reds Rules was closing late in the qualifier, so I will use her as well. 10-Doc Again has a solid trainer, but only nosed out the 6th place finisher in the qualifier to get in and ran a 111SR.

My Picks

3-Pinks Bay Dawn
1-Rawle I Am Sorry
4-Get There First
7-Lady Valentine

How I did last week

I predicted correctly 5 of the 10 participants in the final
My top pick in Qualifier One, Pinks Bay Dawn, finished 2nd, beaten a neck
My top pick in Qualifier Two, Conquest Coco, finished 9th, beaten 14L

Some Quick Kentucky Derby Picks

12-Santiva
19-Nehro
13-Mucho Macho Man
14-Shackleford
The Play: $10 to win/place on 12-Santiva, $2 ex box with those + 8-Dialed In.

Good Luck To All The Participants in the Races tonight.

Comments

frelance's picture

Ready

After a troubled second in the Trials my horse (Get There First) is kicking down the stall door. Had to blow him out 2 furlongs this morning to take the edge off. If he runs a trouble free race he will run big.
Frelance

muzik04's picture

WOW

i think you had everyone but the winner

TJ

Check out my stable blog:
http://www.horseracegame.com/community/user/26269/blogs

general's picture

Well....I wish I did as well

Well....I wish I did as well handicapping the Derby as i did handicapping this fantasy race.
I hit the Superfecta COLD!
3-1-4-7
Congradulations to Archon and Pinks By Dawn have fun on that vacation

racodo's picture

Yeah, but the Derby doesnt

Yeah, but the Derby doesnt give you BSR's to go by.

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